Not investment adviceResearch and scenario-analysis tooling built from public sources only. Claims are labeled confirmed, reported or speculation; figures are approximate and user-editable.

Signals monitor

What to watch, typical lead time, and which way it cuts for legacy common

30 of 30

#	Category	Bias (legacy common)	Paths	Lead time	Observed
1	Process	↑ process started	A	6–18 months before any exit	—
2	Process	↑↑ late-stage process	AC	≥6 months before consent request	—
3	Process	↑ gate cleared	A	Weeks–months after RFI closes	—
4	SPS	↕ depends on terms	AC	Days–weeks before announcement; filed via 8-K	Jan 2, 2025 +1
5	Process	↑↑↑ exit approved	A	Final gate — at or just before exit	—
6	Political	↑ sentiment, low process weight	AB	Days–months; often precedes process steps with no fixed timing	Jun 8, 2026
7	Political	↑ operator intent	AB	Days–weeks	—
8	Rates	↓ soft veto on timing	AB	Immediate effect on timing narrative	Feb 13, 2025
9	Capital	↑ shortens capital path	AB	Months before exit or offering	—
10	Capital	↑ capital progress	A	Quarterly	—
11	Legal	↕ depends on remedy	C	Weeks–months around rulings or settlements	—
12	IPO	↑↑ offering prep	B	3–9 months before an offering	Oct 8, 2025
13	IPO	↑↑↑ offering imminent	B	Weeks–months before pricing	—
14	IPO	↑↑ liquidity / index access	B	Weeks–months	—
15	Governance	↕ read who and why	AB	Months	—
16	Investor	↕ ranks above common	C	Months	—
17	SPS	↓ if extended/exercised · ↑ if cancelled	C	Before the 2028-09-07 expiry	—
18	Rates	↓ delays IPO narrative	B	Immediate	Jan 9, 2026
19	Market	↓ triggers spreads veto	AB	Same day	—
20	Rates	↓ rates politics dominate	AB	Days	—
21	Political	↕ check or amplify	A	Months–years	—
22	Political	↕ coordination signal	AB	Weeks–months	—
23	Political	↑ decision proximity	ABC	Days	—
24	Process	↑ coordination	ABC	Weeks	—
25	SPS	↕ fiscal cost framing	C	Months	—
26	Market	↕ informed positioning	C	Days	—
27	Investor	↑ advocacy	BC	Days–weeks	Nov 18, 2025
28	Network	↕ network positioning	BC	Weeks–months	—
29	Press	↕ read the sourcing	ABC	Days–weeks	—
30	Sentiment	↕ noise unless corroborated	B	Hours–days	—